A-Level 经济 | 解决高通货膨胀政府需要怎么做?

时间:2024-05-23 09:51:04  作者:网络 来源:网络
要解决高通货膨胀,政府的宏观政策主要有三个
① monetary policies-货币政策
② fiscal policies-财政政策
③ supply-side policy-总供应相关政策

 

Monetary policies

 
refers to the use of interest rates, exchange rates and the money supply to control macroeconomic objectives and to affect the level of economic activity
Measures:interest rate, money supply and exchange rate
 
Fiscal policy
 
refers the use of taxes and government spending to affect macroeconomic objectives such as economic growth and employment
Measures:taxation and government spending
 
为了解决由于总需求AD上升导致的demand-pull inflation,一般需要使用能够降低AD的contractionary policy收缩性政策。
a) Contractionary monetary policy: increase interest rate, reduce money supply and increase exchange rate
b) Contractionary fiscal policy: increase tax rate and reduce government spending
 
Supply -side  
 
refers long-term measures to increase the productive capacity of the economy, leading to an outward shift of the production possibility curve.
Measures:
  • Education and training
  • Tax cut
  • Subsidy
  • Labour market reforms
  • Deregulation
  • Privatisation
  • Improve infrastructure
supply-side policy可以通过降低cost of production的方式,来增加aggregated supply,从而降低物价。主要解决cost-push inflation。
 

 

 

 

 

让我们看看在
面临40年来最高通货膨胀
美国是如何应对的
 
美国经济在疫情期间采取宽松政策刺激总需求后,经济有在复苏,但却因为stressed supply chain due to shutdown of china , Russian war with Ukraine, and ongoing pandemic面临着历史最高通货膨胀。
通货膨胀导致油价,食品价格,房价,交通价格等上涨,居民的生活成本大幅上升。
图片
 
美国主要通过以下四个措施来应对高通胀:

1

tighten monetary policy 也就是紧缩的货币政策。比如提高利率从而减少total demand并遏制价格上涨的压力。今年以来美国加息五次,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调到3%至3.25%之间。

2

在某些商品上通过price control防止价格过高,例如,美国通过白宫3月31日宣布,在未来6个月每天从战略石油储备(Strategic Petroleum Reserve)中释放100万桶,约占全球需求的1%,总释放量可达到1.8亿桶。这是白宫有史以来释放原油储备规模最大的一次。

3

美国还通过改善供应链来抑制通胀。减少对中国和俄罗斯的依赖,建立“Indo-Pacific economic Framework”。

4

2022年8月份,美国总统拜登签署《2022年通胀削减法案》,意在通过减少财政赤字、增加对大企业征税等措施来遏制通胀。
 
 
 
 
接下来
让我们运用所学知识于题目
Discuss whether monetary policy alone is the best way for a government to correct inflation. [12]
解题思路
Part 1  
define relevant key terms
①Inflation; demand-pull and cost-push.
②Monetary policy.
  • Measures
  • Contractionary and expansionary
③AD=C+I+G+NX.
 
Part 2  
explain how monetary policy could solve inflation
Contractionary monetary policy
  • Increase interest rate → return of saving decreases → saving decreases → consume expenditure(C) decrease →  AD decreases.
  • Increase interest rate → cost of borrowing increases →  investment(I) decreases → AD decreases.
  • Increase exchange rate → export becomes relatively more expensive and import becomes relatively cheaper → export decreases and import increases → net export (NX) decreases → AD decreases.
 

Part 3  

discuss when the monetary policy is ineffective

The effectiveness of monetary policy to correct inflation will depends on a number of factors:
①Interest rate may not solve its problems.
  • time lag.
  • a higher interest rate also have adverse effect on unemployment and economic growth.
  • a rise in the interest rate may discourage foreign investment.
②Confidence level may make consumers’ and investors’ behaviours unpredictable.
 
Part 4 
compare to another policy: explain how supply side policy could solve inflation
①Define supply-side policy.
②Explain how the policy measures work.
  • Increasing spending on education and trainingimprove labour’s skills (human capital)→ productivity increases→ AS increases.
  • Reducing direct tax→ such as corporation tax→ more profit to increase investment→ productivity increases→ AS increases.
  • Privatisation→profit-motive→more efficient→AS increases.
 
Part 5
discuss when the supply-side policy is ineffective
  • Not very effective in the short term as they can take a long time to have an effect.
  • increased government spending on education and cuts in tax may increase AD before they increase AS.
  • Privatisation may not result in an increase in efficiency if the privatized industries become monopolies and do not take into account external costs and benefits.
 
Part 6
evaluate which policy is more likely to be successful
  • If output and employment are low, LARS perfectly elastic, firm can attract more resources without rising price level, decreasing AD without decreasing the price level.
  • So contractionary monetary policy can be ineffective.
  • If economy close to full capacity, LARS vertical, contractionary monetary policy is very effective.
  • Supply-side policy is effective in the long run but it is time-consuming and costly.
 
Part 7
conclusion
 
 

END

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